Series 2558: Constituent Correspondence, 2000-2003

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36072

From: 		Mark Krikorian <msk@cis.org>
To: 		"msk@cis.org".Net.GOV_MAIL
Created: 	10/23/2001 11:20 PM
Subject: 	Census: 8 million illegals
Message: 		

[FYI -- Mark Krikorian]


CENSUS BUREAU: 8 MILLION ILLEGAL ALIENS IN 2000
Finding Raises Concern over Border Control in Light of Terrorist Threat

For Immediate Release
Contact: Steven Camarota, 202-466-8185, sac@cis.org

WASHINGTON (October 24, 2001) -- When the Census Bureau announced its 
decision last week concerning statistical adjustments to the 2000 Census, 
it also released, virtually unnoticed, its estimate that 8 million illegal 
aliens live in the United States. This number, larger than might have been 
expected from earlier estimates by the Immigration and Naturalization 
Service (INS), is especially troubling given the role failures in 
immigration control played in September's terrorist attacks.

The findings indicate that during the 1990s the illegal population grew by 
roughly half a million a year. We know this because a draft report given to 
the House immigration subcommittee by the INS estimated that the illegal 
population was 3.5 million in 1990 
(http://wwwa.house.gov/lamarsmith/INSreport.pdf, see page 16). For the 
illegal population to have reached 8 million by 2000, the net increase had 
to be 400,000 to 500,000 per year during the 1990s.  Moreover, a net 
increase of this size implies that the total flow of new illegals entering 
each year must be more than 700,000, because the INS estimates that several 
hundred thouand illegals return home each year or receive legal status as 
part of the normal "legal" immigration process.

The Census Bureau report with the estimated size of the illegal population 
can be found at
http://www.census.gov/dmd/www/ReportRec2.htm (Appendix A of Report 1 
contains the estimates). Other implications of the new Census Bureau estimates:

* The Census Bureau's estimates clearly demonstrate that amnesties don't 
solve the problem of illegal immigration. Although 2.7 million of the 
estimated 5 million illegal aliens living in the country in 1986 were given 
amnesty (legal permanent residence), the new estimates indicate that they 
have been entirely replaced by new illegal aliens and that by last year the 
illegal population was 3 million larger than before the last amnesty.

* Although the INS has very serious shortcomings, it is not responsible for 
this situation. Instead, the problem lies with Congress and previous 
administrations, Democratic and Republican.  All have failed to provide the 
money or political support the INS needed to enforce the ban on hiring 
illegals, to track down those who overstay their visas (as was the case 
with several of the terrorists), and to adequately guard all parts of the 
nation's land borders.

"These new estimates have enormous implications for the security of our 
nation," said Steven A. Camarota, director of research at the Center for 
Immigration Studies. "If a Mexican day laborer can sneak across the border, 
so can an al Qaeda terrorist. While the vast majority of illegals are not 
terrorists, the fact that hundreds of thousands of people are able to 
settle in the United States illegally each year indicates that terrorists 
who wish to do so face few obstacles. We can't protect ourselves from 
terrorism without dealing with illegal immigration, and selective 
enforcement would be both immoral and ineffective."

Since the terrorist threat comes almost exclusively from foreign-born 
individuals, immigration enforcement must be a central part of efforts to 
reduce the likelihood of future attacks. In fact, according to INS 
commissioner James Ziglar, at least three of the terrorists who carried out 
the attacks of September 11 were illegal aliens, and the INS has no 
information at all on several others. In addition to concerns over 
terrorism, the huge number of illegal aliens living in the country also has 
significant implications for public services as well as for the job 
prospects of low-wage Americans in the current economic downturn.

Census Bureau Methodology: The Bureau found 8.7 million foreign-born 
individuals in the 2000 Census who appeared not to have legal status. 
However, because records for some legal immigrants are not available from 
the Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS), the Bureau estimates that 
1.7 million of the 8.7 million already had legal status or were likely to 
gain it soon. If these individuals are excluded, then 7 million illegals 
were counted in 2000. The Census Bureau also estimates that roughly 1 
million illegal aliens were likely missed in last year's count, meaning 
that the total illegal population stood at 8 million in 2000.

Also in the new report on immigrants in the 2000 census:

* The total foreign-born or immigrant population (including legal and most 
illegal immigrants) grew enormously, from 19.8 million in 1990 to 31.1 
million in 2000.

* The 11.3 million or 57 percent increase in the total foreign-born 
population in just one decade is almost without precedent in American 
history both numerically and proportionately.  Even during the great wave 
of immigration from 1900 to 1910, the foreign-born population grew by only 
3.2 million or 31 percent, from 10.3 million to 13.5 million.

* The immigrant population more than tripled in size during the last three 
decades, from 9.6 million in 1970 to 31.1 million in 2000.

With regard to the overall size of the foreign-born population, the figures 
released by the Census Bureau indicate that we are currently in the midst 
of an enormous social experiment. "No nation in history has every attempted 
to incorporate and assimilate 31 million newcomers into its society," 
Camarota said. "And the experiment is by no means over. If policy remains 
unchanged, at least 13 million legal and illegal immigrants will likely 
settle in the United States over the next ten years."

# # #


-----------------------------------------------
Mark Krikorian, executive director
Center for Immigration Studies
1522 K Street N.W., Suite 820
Washington, DC  20005
(202) 466-8185    fax: (202) 466-8076
msk@cis.org    http://www.cis.org
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